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Unit Root and Structural Break: Experience from the Indian Service Sector

In: Analytical Issues in Trade, Development and Finance

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  • Purba Roy Choudhury

    (The Bhawanipur Education Society College)

Abstract

The purpose of this chapter is to analyse and examine the presence of unit root properties of the growth of the components ofIndia’s GDP at factor cost using annual data from 1950–51 to 2009–10. The paper tries to analyse the trends in the growth in India with special reference to the Indian service sector. The initial part of the paper undertakes the selective survey of literature. Next, the relative share of agriculture, industry and services in the gross domestic product(GDP) are analyzed for the Indian econiomy as a whole, along with the decomposition of service sectors in India. Along with traditional unit root tests like the Augmented Dickey-fuller and the Phillips Perron test, the procedure developed by Zivot and Andrews to test the null of unit root against the break stationary alternative are also used. These conventional unit root test results reveal that all variables are stationary. However, results from the Zivot Andrews test indicate all the growth series except transport, storage and communication are stationary with a single break. At the same time, the Zivot and Andrews test identifies endogenously the point of the single most significant structural break in every time series examined. Most interestingly, the single most significant break in the growth of the components of GDP in the Indian economy occurs at around 1965–66.

Suggested Citation

  • Purba Roy Choudhury, 2014. "Unit Root and Structural Break: Experience from the Indian Service Sector," India Studies in Business and Economics, in: Ambar Nath Ghosh & Asim K. Karmakar (ed.), Analytical Issues in Trade, Development and Finance, edition 127, chapter 18, pages 295-320, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:isbchp:978-81-322-1650-6_18
    DOI: 10.1007/978-81-322-1650-6_18
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    Cited by:

    1. Purba Roy Choudhury & Biswajit Chatterjee, 2017. "Growth in India’s Service Sector: Implications of Structural Breaks," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 15(1), pages 75-99, March.

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