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Battle of the Giants: Inspecting How the Us-China Trade War is Shaking up FDI Inflows in the Asean+3

In: Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Business, Accounting, Finance and Economics (BAFE 2025)

Author

Listed:
  • Cheah Wan Ching

    (Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Jalan Universiti)

  • Chuah Jolin

    (Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Jalan Universiti)

  • Ting Yi Ernn

    (Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Jalan Universiti)

Abstract

This study investigates how tariffs and trade liberalization affect FDI inflows to ASEAN+3 economies, with a particular focus on sectoral inflows in manufacturing and services. The analysis incorporates the role of global value chain (GVC) integration in the context of U.S.–China trade tensions. The results indicate that while tariffs exert limited influence on overall FDI inflows, their effects are more pronounced within the manufacturing sector. Conversely, trade liberalization consistently promotes FDI across both total trade and GVC contexts, underscoring its central role in sustaining investment flows. The findings further reveal divergent sectoral responses to rising U.S. tariffs. Manufacturing FDI increases as multinational firms relocate production to cost-competitive ASEAN+3 economies, whereas services FDI contracts due to its dependence on globally dispersed demand and value-added linkages. Overall, the findings contribute to understanding how trade tensions reshape FDI patterns, underscoring the importance of trade liberalization and GVC integration in sustaining FDI inflows across ASEAN+3.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheah Wan Ching & Chuah Jolin & Ting Yi Ernn, 2025. "Battle of the Giants: Inspecting How the Us-China Trade War is Shaking up FDI Inflows in the Asean+3," Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, in: Thurai Murugan Nathan & Abdelhak Senadjki & Hemaniswarri Dewi Dewadas & Siti Nur Amira Othman & Ravi (ed.), Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Business, Accounting, Finance and Economics (BAFE 2025), pages 424-439, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:advbcp:978-94-6463-968-1_29
    DOI: 10.2991/978-94-6463-968-1_29
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