Research on Public Fund Performance and Rating

With the continuous growth in the scale of public fund management and the number of products, fund selection and evaluation have become key components of investment decision-making. Individual investors typically rely on intuitive indicators such as performance and star ratings, while institutional investors place greater emphasis on a comprehensive analysis of fund performance and fund manager capabilities. Back testing results show that high-rated funds still perform well in the short term, confirming the reference value of ratings. Currently, institutional evaluations of fund managers mainly focus on their stock-picking ability, market-timing ability, and risk management skills, with stock-picking ability being particularly crucial. Through a systematic literature review and analysis, this study summarizes relevant evaluation models and empirical findings, revealing that stock-picking and market-timing abilities are generally negatively correlated, and that excellence in both is essential for achieving superior performance. On this basis, the paper proposes integrating subjective analysis strategies with quantitative approaches to synergistically enhance fund managers’ stock-picking and market-timing capabilities, thereby offering a feasible path for the development of actively managed funds.