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Study on the impact of U.S. deindustrialization on china’s economy based on a vector autoregressive model

In: Proceedings of the 2024 2nd International Conference on Digital Economy and Management Science (CDEMS 2024)

Author

Listed:
  • Xinpeng Cai

    (Central University of Finance and Economics, School of International Economy and Trade)

  • Mingze Sun

    (Queen’s University, Queen’s Economics Department)

Abstract

While economic structures of China and the United States are constantly changing, trade relations are also moving from complementarity to competition. China’s economic growth poses a threat to the United States. And the United States curbs China’s development through economic means, leading to increased trade friction. This paper analyzes the causes of Sino-US trade friction from the perspective of American economic structure transformation and uses the economic data of China and the United States to establish a vector autoregressive model for empirical analysis to study the effect of American de-industrialization on China’s economic structure transformation and upgrading. Specifically, this paper explains the reasons for the re-industrialization of the United States and its impact on China’s economic structure, and then explains the internal logical relationship between economic structure transformation and trade friction.

Suggested Citation

  • Xinpeng Cai & Mingze Sun, 2024. "Study on the impact of U.S. deindustrialization on china’s economy based on a vector autoregressive model," Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, in: Junfeng Liao & Hongbo Li & Edward H. K. Ng (ed.), Proceedings of the 2024 2nd International Conference on Digital Economy and Management Science (CDEMS 2024), pages 4-13, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:advbcp:978-94-6463-488-4_2
    DOI: 10.2991/978-94-6463-488-4_2
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