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Analysis and Measurement of the Impact of Export Value, Import Value, Exchange Rate, and Inflation on Indonesia Budget Deficit 1996–2021

In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Economics and Business Studies (ICOEBS-22-2)

Author

Listed:
  • Elva Vonny Ventika

    (University of Muhammadiyah Surakarta, Faculty of Economics and Business)

  • Eni Setyowati

    (University of Muhammadiyah Surakarta, Faculty of Economics and Business)

Abstract

The economic development of a country requires a comprehensive policy carried out by the Government through the APBN. This policy can cause a budget deficit, where expenditure is more significant than income. It was due to high imports and declining exports, the weakening exchange rate against the dollar, and high inflation. This study analyzes and measures the impact of imports, exports, exchange rates, and inflation on Indonesia's budget deficit. The data used in this study is time series data from 1996–2021 obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, and Bank Indonesia. The data analysis method used is ordinary least squares (OLS). The analysis results show that exports positively and significantly affect the budget deficit. Imports have a positive and insignificant effect on the budget deficit. Meanwhile, the exchange rate and inflation negatively and significantly affect the budget deficit. Suggestions that the Government must are to perfect policies for economic development in Indonesia and future researchers to find other variables so that research is better than before.

Suggested Citation

  • Elva Vonny Ventika & Eni Setyowati, 2024. "Analysis and Measurement of the Impact of Export Value, Import Value, Exchange Rate, and Inflation on Indonesia Budget Deficit 1996–2021," Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, in: Huda Maulana & Muhammad Sholahuddin & Muhammad Anas & Zulfikar Zulfikar (ed.), Proceedings of the International Conference on Economics and Business Studies (ICOEBS-22-2), pages 15-24, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:advbcp:978-94-6463-204-0_3
    DOI: 10.2991/978-94-6463-204-0_3
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