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Speculation

In: John Maynard Keynes

Author

Listed:
  • Piero V. Mini

Abstract

The years of World War I saw the beginning of another activity of Keynes, one that contributed greatly to his maturing into an unclassical economist. We refer to his speculations in the stock, foreign exchange and commodity markets. In this chapter we shall look into this aspect of Keynes’s life relating it to his evolving general philosophy and economic beliefs. We will conclude that his speculative activities, like his war work, did not harmonise with his Moorean beliefs, the clash leading logically to a neurosis that found release in some beliefs and tools of analysis familiar to readers of The General Theory. To some extent, aspects of that scholarly book, not unlike aspects of The Economic Consequences, owe their origin to the clash between his super—ego (the Society’s values) and his more material, worldly desires. Further, what Keynes learned from the financial markets contributed in weakening his faith in the possibility of ‘mensuration’ and in the whole probabilistic approach of the Treatise on Probability.

Suggested Citation

  • Piero V. Mini, 1994. "Speculation," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: John Maynard Keynes, chapter 5, pages 84-93, Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-349-23606-0_6
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-23606-0_6
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