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Probability theory applied to reservoir storage

In: Stochastic Water Resources Technology

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  • N. T. Kottegoda

    (University of Birmingham, Department of Civil Engineering)

Abstract

Stochastic models applicable to hydrologic time series and extreme events are investigated in earlier chapters. Such models are important for the simulation of complex water resource systems and for flood estimation purposes. However, in the design of individual reservoirs where one of the main criteria is the probability of failure, a more direct approach can be adopted if the inflow data are independent or have a Markov type of dependence. The choice between alternatives is usually made so that this probability does not exceed a stipulated value, which depends on the purposes served. Also important is the average number of times a reservoir will spill or empty during a given period. Another interesting outcome is the probability of first time emptiness.

Suggested Citation

  • N. T. Kottegoda, 1980. "Probability theory applied to reservoir storage," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Stochastic Water Resources Technology, chapter 7, pages 264-293, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-349-03467-3_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-03467-3_7
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