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20 Million Japanese to go Missing

In: Asia Future Shock

Author

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  • Michael Backman

Abstract

Japan’s population has just about peaked, meaning that shortly it will go into reverse, the first developed, modern nation for which this is the case. The peak will be around 127’8 million people. One estimate is that the population will fall by around 20% by 2030 to around 103 million, by 30% by 2050 and by 50% by 2100.1 Japan’s Institute of Population and Social Security Research forecasts that the population will fall to somewhere between 92 million and 108 million by 2050. The UN forecasts that it will decline to 105 million.2 By 2050, 800,000 more Japanese will die each year than are born and the country will have more than a million people aged 100 years or more.3

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Backman, 2008. "20 Million Japanese to go Missing," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Asia Future Shock, chapter 4, pages 31-36, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-59242-1_4
    DOI: 10.1057/9780230592421_4
    as

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