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Business Cycles, Manias and Panics in Industrial Societies

In: Business Cycles

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  • Charles P. Kindleberger

    (Massachusetts Institute Of Technology)

Abstract

Let me clear the decks by first limiting my discussion to the cycles of about ten years, disregarding the Braudel cycle of 150 years (with peaks in 1350, 1650, 1817 and 1973–4 (Braudel, 1984, p. 78), the Kondratieff (1935) of fifty years, and the Kuznets cycle of twenty years (Kuznets, 1958), not to mention the Brinley Thomas international cycles linked across the Atlantic by migration, again of twenty years (Thomas, 1954). I have in mind much more the nineteenth- and twentieth-century cycles with breaks in 1816, 1825, 1836, 1847, 1857, 1866, 1873, 1890, 1907, 1914, 1921, 1929, 1937, perhaps 1949, and then again perhaps 1974–5 and 1981–2. I will have great difficulty in explaining the cyclical character of the movements, but am unwilling to accept that there is anything in nature, apart from human nature, that makes for the regularity, such as it is.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles P. Kindleberger, 1991. "Business Cycles, Manias and Panics in Industrial Societies," International Economic Association Series, in: Niels Thygesen & Kumaraswamy Velupillai & Stefano Zambelli (ed.), Business Cycles, chapter 2, pages 41-55, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:intecp:978-1-349-11570-9_2
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-11570-9_2
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    Cited by:

    1. M Ball, 1994. "The 1980s Property Boom," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 26(5), pages 671-695, May.

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