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Properly discounting the future: using predictions in an uncertain world

In: Predicting the Future in Science, Economics, and Politics

Author

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  • J. Doyne Farmer
  • John Geanakoplos

Abstract

It is a puzzle that while academic research has increased in specialization, the important and complex problems facing humans urgently require a synthesis of understanding. This unique collaboration attempts to address such a problem by bringing together a host of prominent scholars from across the sciences to offer new insights into predicting the future. They demonstrate that long-term trends and short-term incentives need to be understood in order to adopt effective policies, or even to comprehend where we currently stand and the sort of future that awaits us.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2014. "Properly discounting the future: using predictions in an uncertain world," Chapters,in: Predicting the Future in Science, Economics, and Politics, chapter 5, pages 114-125 Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Handle: RePEc:elg:eechap:15641_5
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