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Long-term Fiscal Model (LTFM)

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Abstract

The Long-Term Fiscal Model (LTFM) is a spreadsheet-based model created by the New Zealand Treasury to produce 40-year projections. The projections cover economic and fiscal variables, such as nominal GDP and core Crown net debt, used in the Statements on the Long-Term Fiscal Position published by the New Zealand Treasury every four years. The latest version of the LTFM is the model produced for He Tirohanga Mokopuna 2021: The Treasury's combined Statement on the Long-term Fiscal Position and Long-term Insights Briefing 2021.

Suggested Citation

  • New Zealand Treasury, 2021. "Long-term Fiscal Model (LTFM)," Treasury Modelling and Data Tools LTFM, New Zealand Treasury.
  • Handle: RePEc:nzt:nztmdt:ltfm
    Note: The next edition will be released in 2025.
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    File URL: https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/strategies-and-plans/long-term-fiscal-position/long-term-fiscal-model
    File Function: Context and archive for the LTFM series
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/ltfm/long-term-fiscal-model-he-tirohanga-mokopuna-2021
    File Function: Context for the 2021 edition
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2021-09/ltfm-htm-sep21_2.xlsx
    File Function: Spreadsheet model - LTFM - 2021 edition
    Download Restriction: no
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