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XTCOMBREAK: Stata module to estimate the common break date with a confidence interval (Bai 2010) and test whether the break really is common across units (Jiang and Kurozumi 2026)

Author

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  • Merwan Roudane

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Abstract

xtcombreak implements two complementary papers on common breaks in panel data. xtcombreak estimate implements Bai (2010). In a single time series only the break fraction can be estimated consistently; the break date cannot. Bai's result is that a panel fixes this: as N grows, P(khat = k0) -> 1, so the exact date is recovered. This holds even when a regime contains a {bf:single observation}, which makes it useful for pinning down the onset of a new regime quickly. The command estimates the date by least squares, quasi-maximum likelihood or feasible GLS, reports Bai's parameter-free confidence interval, and runs his series-by-series Chow test to say which units actually broke. xtcombreak test implements Jiang and Kurozumi (2026). Every common-break method, including Bai's, assumes the break is at the same date for all units. This is a real restriction and can fail. The command tests that assumption with a self-normalised CUSUM statistic built from OLS residuals.

Suggested Citation

  • Merwan Roudane, 2026. "XTCOMBREAK: Stata module to estimate the common break date with a confidence interval (Bai 2010) and test whether the break really is common across units (Jiang and Kurozumi 2026)," Statistical Software Components S459800, Boston College Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:boc:bocode:s459800
    Note: This module should be installed from within Stata by typing "ssc install xtcombreak". The module is made available under terms of the GPL v3 (https://www.gnu.org/licenses/gpl-3.0.txt). Windows users should not attempt to download these files with a web browser.
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    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/x/xtcombreak.ado
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    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/x/xtcombreak.sthlp
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    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/x/xtcombreak_methods.sthlp
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    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/x/xtcombreak_estimate.sthlp
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    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/x/xtcombreak_test.sthlp
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    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/x/xtcombreak_example.do
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