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FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft – Update 2020

Author

Listed:
  • Harald Oberhofer
  • Robert Stehrer
  • Vasily Astrov
  • Roman Stöllinger

    (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

  • Yvonne Wolfmayr

Abstract

Die COVID-19-Pandemie hatte einen massiven Einfluss auf die internationalen Wirtschaftsaktivitäten und somit auf die österreichische Außenwirtschaft. Das vorliegende Oktober-Update zum FIW-Jahresgutachten "Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft" vom Februar 2020 präsentiert eine neue kurzfristige Prognose für die Entwicklung der österreichischen Außenwirtschaft in den Jahren 2020 und 2021. Die österreichischen Waren- und Dienstleistungsexporte werden im Jahr 2020 im Vergleich zu 2019 real um 12,4% niedriger ausfallen. Die Gesamtimporte werden über denselben Beobachtungszeitraum (ebenfalls real betrachtet) um 10,6% schrumpfen. Da die Exporte stärker von der COVID-19-Pandemie als die Importe betroffen sind, wird der Beitrag der Nettoexporte zum gesamtwirtschaftlichen Wachstum somit im Jahr 2020 mit einem Minus von 1,3 Prozentpunkten relativ deutlich negativ ausfallen.

Suggested Citation

  • Harald Oberhofer & Robert Stehrer & Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft – Update 2020," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67345, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:67345
    Note: With English abstract.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hans Pitlik & Oliver Fritz & Gerhard Streicher, 2020. "Ökonomische Bedeutung der Kulturwirtschaft und ihre Betroffenheit in der COVID-19-Krise," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66154, February.
    2. Roman Stöllinger, 2020. "Tradability of output and the current account in Europe," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 167-218, February.
    3. Doris Hanzl-Weiss & Sandra M. Leitner & Robert Stehrer & Roman Stöllinger, 2018. "Global and Regional Value Chains: How Important, How Different?," wiiw Research Reports 427, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Mayerhofer & Susanne Bärenthaler-Sieber & Michael Böheim, 2020. "Oberösterreichs Industrie in der COVID-19-Krise. Eine Zwischenbilanz," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66810, February.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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