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FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft – Update 2020

Author

Listed:
  • Harald Oberhofer
  • Robert Stehrer
  • Vasily Astrov
  • Roman Stöllinger

    (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

  • Yvonne Wolfmayr

Abstract

Die COVID-19-Pandemie hatte einen massiven Einfluss auf die internationalen Wirtschaftsaktivitäten und somit auf die österreichische Außenwirtschaft. Das vorliegende Oktober-Update zum FIW-Jahresgutachten "Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft" vom Februar 2020 präsentiert eine neue kurzfristige Prognose für die Entwicklung der österreichischen Außenwirtschaft in den Jahren 2020 und 2021. Die österreichischen Waren- und Dienstleistungsexporte werden im Jahr 2020 im Vergleich zu 2019 real um 12,4% niedriger ausfallen. Die Gesamtimporte werden über denselben Beobachtungszeitraum (ebenfalls real betrachtet) um 10,6% schrumpfen. Da die Exporte stärker von der COVID-19-Pandemie als die Importe betroffen sind, wird der Beitrag der Nettoexporte zum gesamtwirtschaftlichen Wachstum somit im Jahr 2020 mit einem Minus von 1,3 Prozentpunkten relativ deutlich negativ ausfallen.

Suggested Citation

  • Harald Oberhofer & Robert Stehrer & Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft – Update 2020," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67345, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:67345
    Note: With English abstract.
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hans Pitlik & Oliver Fritz & Gerhard Streicher, 2020. "Ökonomische Bedeutung der Kulturwirtschaft und ihre Betroffenheit in der COVID-19-Krise," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66154, October.
    2. Doris Hanzl-Weiss & Sandra M. Leitner & Robert Stehrer & Roman Stöllinger, 2018. "Global and Regional Value Chains: How Important, How Different?," wiiw Research Reports 427, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    3. Roman Stöllinger, 2020. "Tradability of output and the current account in Europe," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 167-218, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Mayerhofer & Susanne Bärenthaler-Sieber & Michael Böheim, 2020. "Oberösterreichs Industrie in der COVID-19-Krise. Eine Zwischenbilanz," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66810, October.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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