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An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts


  • Victor Zarnowitz


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Suggested Citation

  • Victor Zarnowitz, 1967. "An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number zarn67-1, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberbk:zarn67-1

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    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
    2. Solomon Fabricant, 1972. "Recent Economic Changes and the Agenda of Business Cycle Research," NBER Chapters,in: Supplement to NBER Report Eight, pages 1-33 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Stephen K. McNees, 1992. "The 1990-91 recession in historical perspective," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Jan, pages 3-22.
    4. Armstrong, J. Scott, 1970. "An Application of Econometric Models to International Marketing," MPRA Paper 81698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H. O., 2000. "An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 17-38.
    6. Solomon Fabricant, 1971. "Recent Economic Changes and the Agenda of Business-Cycle Research," NBER Chapters,in: Supplement to NBER Report Eight, pages 1-33 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. John G. Cragg & Burton G. Malkiel, 1982. "References, Index," NBER Chapters,in: Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices, pages 167-176 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Tessier, Thomas H. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2015. "Decomposition of time-series by level and change," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1755-1758.
    9. Fullerton, Thomas M. & Kelley, Brian W., 2008. "El Paso Housing Sector Econometric Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(01), pages 385-402, April.
    10. Jacob A. Mincer & Victor Zarnowitz, 1969. "The Evaluation of Economic Forecasts," NBER Chapters,in: Economic Forecasts and Expectations: Analysis of Forecasting Behavior and Performance, pages 3-46 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Victor Zarnowitz, 1972. "Forecasting Economic Conditions: The Record and the Prospect," NBER Chapters,in: Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect, Volume 1, The Business Cycle Today, pages 183-239 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. repec:lan:wpaper:539557 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1717-1731.
    14. Ewa Ratuszny, 2015. "Risk Modeling of Commodities using CAViaR Models, the Encompassing Method and the Combined Forecasts," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 15, pages 129-156.
    15. Yasemin Ulu, 2015. "Rationality of inflation-output forecasts of MMS survey: international evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(12), pages 1187-1198, March.
    16. Gács, János & Lackó, Mária, 1974. "A népgazdasági szintű tervezési magatartás vizsgálata: kísérlet néhány összefüggés elemzésére
      [Examination of national-level planning behaviour: An attempt at analysing some interrelations]
      ," MPRA Paper 61834, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. repec:lan:wpaper:470 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Victor Zarnowitz, 1979. "Information, Measurement, And Prediction In Economics," NBER Working Papers 0318, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003. "Inflation forecast uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
    20. repec:lan:wpaper:425 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. repec:lan:wpaper:413 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Karine Bouthevillain, 1993. "La prévision macro-économique : précision relative et consensus," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 108(2), pages 97-126.
    23. Didier Borowski & Carine Bouthevillain & Catherine Doz & Pierre Malgrange & Pierre Morin, 1991. "Vingt ans de prévisions macro-économiques : une évaluation sur données françaises," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 99(3), pages 43-65.

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