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Ökonometrische Schätzung eines Frühindikators der Konjunkturentwicklung

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  • Bandholz, Harm
  • Funke, Michael

Abstract

Frühindikatoren sind ein wichtiges Hilfsmittel für die Konjunkturdiagnose und für das Erkennen von Wendepunkten. Derzeit werden häufig Indikatoren verwendet, die aus Umfrageergebnissen abgeleitet werden. Der hier vorgestellte Frühindikator basiert dagegen auf einem multivariaten ökonometrischen Modell. Er wird künftig regelmäßig vom HWWA ermittelt und als „HWWA-Frühindikator für Deutschland“ veröffentlicht.

Suggested Citation

  • Bandholz, Harm & Funke, Michael, 2002. "Ökonometrische Schätzung eines Frühindikators der Konjunkturentwicklung," Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), ZBW – German National Library of Economics / Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 82(12), pages 757-760.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:wirtdi:41228
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    Cited by:

    1. Weinert, Günter, 2003. "Zwischen Hoffen und Bangen - Konjunktur 2003," HWWA Reports 224, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).

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