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A Real-Business-Cycle model with energy use: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)

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  • Vasilev, Aleksandar

Abstract

We introduce energy as a productive input into a real-business-cycle model with government sector. We calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2018). We investigate the quantitative importance of the presence of energy, and the potential relevance of energy price shocks as driving forces behind the observed business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria. In particular, a positive shock to energy prices in the model works like a negative technological shock. Allowing for the presence of energy as a factor of production does not substantially improves the model performance against data, and is thus an unlikely driver of business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2023. "A Real-Business-Cycle model with energy use: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 0(2(17)), pages 23-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:283911
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2017. "A Real-Business-Cycle model with efficiency wages and a government sector: the case of Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue 4, pages 359-377.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business fluctuations; energy use;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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