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Fractional Integration At Zero And The Cyclical Frequencies In The Specification Of Us Prices

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  • L. A. GIL-ALANA

    (Facultad de Ciencias Economicas, Universidad de Navarra, Edificio Biblioteca, Entrada Este, E-31080 Pamplona, Spain)

Abstract

In this paper we show that US prices can be specified in terms of a time series model that contains roots simultaneously at zero and the cyclical frequencies. Using a general procedure for testing this type of hypothesis, the results show that the secular component in the US prices is nonstationary, with an order of integration ranging between 0.7 and 1.4. However, the cyclical part seems to be stationary, with the order of integration fluctuating around 0. This implies that shocks affecting the long run component will be highly persistent, while those affecting the cyclical part will disappear quickly.

Suggested Citation

  • L. A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Fractional Integration At Zero And The Cyclical Frequencies In The Specification Of Us Prices," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 50(02), pages 169-173.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:50:y:2005:i:02:n:s0217590805001950
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217590805001950
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    1. N/A, 1980. "India-China Relations January-February 1979," China Report, , vol. 16(1), pages 61-76, January.
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