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Temperature Variation, Health, And Private Medical Costs: Evidence From China

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  • MINGYANG ZHANG

    (Institute of Climate Economics and Low-Carbon Industries, School of Business, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China)

  • WENJIE WANG

    (Institute of Climate Economics and Low-Carbon Industries, School of Business, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China)

  • RUI HU

    (Institute of Climate Economics and Low-Carbon Industries, School of Business, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China)

  • ZHIQIANG CHENG

    (��School of Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, 5 South Zhongguancun Street, Beijing 100081, P. R. China)

  • JIA LI

    (Institute of Climate Economics and Low-Carbon Industries, School of Business, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China)

  • XIAOXIAO ZHANG

    (Institute of Climate Economics and Low-Carbon Industries, School of Business, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China)

Abstract

As heat waves become more frequent and intense around the world, climate change’s effect on human health has aroused widespread concern in society. Using China Family Panel Studies in 2014–2018, this paper empirically examines the health depreciation and medical cost effects of temperature variation. The outcomes demonstrated that the health depreciation effect of temperature variation manifested as impairment of fitness, mental health, and social adaptability. The health depreciation effect of cumulative high temperature is greater, resulting in higher private medical costs. There is a significant nonlinear relationship between temperature bins, spring/summer temperature variability, and medical costs. In addition, there is heterogeneity in the impact of temperature variation on medical costs at the levels of risk, exposure, and vulnerability. This paper enriches research related to the impact of temperature variation on population health depreciation and individual medical costs and provides a scientific basis for a focused, subpopulation, and subregional response to the trend of frequent extreme heat and for promoting public health.

Suggested Citation

  • Mingyang Zhang & Wenjie Wang & Rui Hu & Zhiqiang Cheng & Jia Li & Xiaoxiao Zhang, 2025. "Temperature Variation, Health, And Private Medical Costs: Evidence From China," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(02), pages 1-28, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ccexxx:v:16:y:2025:i:02:n:s2010007825500010
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010007825500010
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