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An Empirical Model For Electronic Submissions To Conferences

Author

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  • PATRICK FLANDRIN

    (Université de Lyon, École Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Laboratoire de Physique (UMR 5672 CNRS), 46, Allée d'Italie, 69364 Lyon Cedex 07, France)

Abstract

Electronic submission to a conference is a process that is known to evolve nonlinearly in time, with a dramatic increase when approaching the deadline. A model has recently been proposed by Alfiet al.(Nature Physics, 2007) for such a process, and the question of its universality has been raised. This problem is revisited here from a data analysis and modeling point of view, on the basis of a larger data set. A new model is proposed that better describes the total evolution of the process (including saturation) and allows for a running prediction of the total number of submissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Flandrin, 2010. "An Empirical Model For Electronic Submissions To Conferences," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 439-449.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:acsxxx:v:13:y:2010:i:03:n:s0219525910002554
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219525910002554
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