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Growingqawm: An Evidence-Driven Declarative Model Of Afghan Power Structures

Author

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  • ARMANDO GELLER

    (Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, Aytoun Building, Aytoun Street, Manchester, M1 3GH, UK)

  • SCOTT MOSS

    (Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, Aytoun Building, Aytoun Street, Manchester, M1 3GH, UK)

Abstract

By means of evidence-driven and declaratively implemented social simulation, we growqawm— solidarity networks in Afghanistan. The study ofqawmlends insight into the structural and processual dynamics of Afghan society. In particular, we concentrate on the evolution of power structures. An agent-based computational model is presented whose ontology borrows from neopatrimonialism, a notion of power prevalent in contemporary conflicts. In this model, agents' structural arrangement, behavior and cognition are informed by qualitative data derived from case studies on Afghanistan. The simulation results suggest that the emergence ofqawmand, hence, the fragmentation of Afghan society are systemic and lead to a constant drain of resources. Cross-validation between the simulated network and a target system network reveals thatqawmexhibit small world characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Armando Geller & Scott Moss, 2008. "Growingqawm: An Evidence-Driven Declarative Model Of Afghan Power Structures," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(02), pages 321-335.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:acsxxx:v:11:y:2008:i:02:n:s0219525908001659
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219525908001659
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    1. Ravi Bhavnani & Nina Schlager & Karsten Donnay & Mirko Reul & Laura Schenker & Maxime Stauffer & Tirtha Patel, 2023. "Household behavior and vulnerability to acute malnutrition in Kenya," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.

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