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Fakty empiryczne w danych jakościowych. Z badań koniunktury IRG SGH [Stylised Facts in Data out of RIED Business Cycle Research]

Listed author(s):
  • Elżbieta Adamowicz


  • Konrad Walczyk


Poszukiwanie przyczyn wahań koniunkturalnych odbywa się dwutorowo. Jedni badacze koncentrują swoją uwagę na podstawach teoretycznych, poszukując teorii i modeli wyjaśniających przyczyny i mechanizm wahań cyklicznych. Inni koncentrują się na poszukiwaniu prawidłowości towarzyszących kolejnym cyklom. Wyniki ich badań są prezentowane jako fakty empiryczne. Przedmiotem analizy w artykule są fakty empiryczne, odzwierciedlane w danych jakościowych, gromadzonych w badaniach koniunktury metodą testu. Zakres badania jest ograniczony do przemysłu przetwórczego. Do analizy wybrano siedem zmiennych, monitorowanych w teście koniunktury: wskaźnik koniunktury w przemyśle, produkcję, zamówienia, zapasy, ceny, zatrudnienie i sytuację finansową przedsiębiorstw. Zmienną referencyjną jest jednopodstawowy indeks produkcji sprzedanej przemysłu przetwórczego. [The research on causes of business cycles goes two ways. Some researchers focus on theoretical foundations, looking for theories and models that would explain an origin and mechanism of cyclical fluctuations. Others try seeking for regularities associated with subsequent cycles that are called stylized facts. The paper deals with stylized facts that are reflected in business surveys data. The scope of the study is narrowed to the manufacturing industry only. We have selected 7 variables surveyed: business indicator, production, total orders, finished goods inventories, prices, employment and financial situation of manufacturing firms. The fixed-base index of sold manufacturing production is taken for reference. ]

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Article provided by Instytut Rozwoju Gospodarczego (SGH) in its journal Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego.

Volume (Year): 90 (2012)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 39-65

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Handle: RePEc:wsd:irgpim:v:90:y:2012:i:3:p:39-65
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