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The Two‐Stage Model of Carcinogenesis: Overcoming the Nonidentifiability Dilemma

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  • Claire D. Sherman
  • Christopher J. Portier

Abstract

The two‐stage mathematical model of carcinogenesis has been shown to be nonidentifiable whenever tumor incidence data alone is used to fit the model (Hanin and Yakovlev, 1996). This lack of identifiability implies that more than one parameter vector satisfies the optimization criteria for parameter estimation, e.g., maximum likelihood estimation. A question of greater concern to persons using the two‐stage model of carcinogenesis is under what conditions can identifiable parameters be obtained from the observed experimental data. We outline how to obtain identifiable parameters for the two‐stage model.

Suggested Citation

  • Claire D. Sherman & Christopher J. Portier, 1997. "The Two‐Stage Model of Carcinogenesis: Overcoming the Nonidentifiability Dilemma," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(3), pages 367-374, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:17:y:1997:i:3:p:367-374
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1997.tb00875.x
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