IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/revfec/v43y2025i4p433-456.html

Retail investor attention and stock return volatility: The moderating role of ownership concentration in China

Author

Listed:
  • Wenbin Hu
  • Hui Sun

Abstract

We examine how ownership concentration (OC) moderates the relationship between retail investor attention and stock return volatility. We use the aggregate search frequency from the Baidu search index and the shareholding of the largest 10 shareholders as proxies for retail investor attention and OC. The empirical results show that a firm's OC is a critical moderator in mitigating the positive relationship between retail investor attention and stock return volatility. In addition, we find that lower trading volume and reduced financial risk‐taking constitute two key mechanisms underlying the moderating effect of OC. Furthermore, we find that the moderating role of OC is more pronounced for active shareholders, consistent with their monitoring incentives. Our results remain robust to alternative measures, Oster's omitted variable bias approach, the change‐in‐change regression, and the instrumental variable method. Given the importance of stock return volatility in corporate finance, our findings contribute to a deeper understanding of how retail investor behavior and OC jointly shape market dynamics. These insights also have important policy implications for facilitating market stability and protecting shareholder value.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenbin Hu & Hui Sun, 2025. "Retail investor attention and stock return volatility: The moderating role of ownership concentration in China," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(4), pages 433-456, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:revfec:v:43:y:2025:i:4:p:433-456
    DOI: 10.1002/rfe.70008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/rfe.70008
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/rfe.70008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bae, Kee-Hong & Chan, Kalok & Ng, Angela, 2004. "Investibility and return volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 239-263, February.
    2. Agrawal, Anup & Mandelker, Gershon N, 1987. "Managerial Incentives and Corporate Investment and Financing Decision s," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(4), pages 823-837, September.
    3. Mansi, Sattar & Peng, Lin & Qi, Jianping & Shi, Han, 2025. "Investor Attention and Insider Trading," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(5), pages 2293-2333, August.
    4. Amihud, Yakov & Hameed, Allaudeen & Kang, Wenjin & Zhang, Huiping, 2015. "The illiquidity premium: International evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 350-368.
    5. Joseph D. Piotroski & T.J. Wong, 2012. "Institutions and Information Environment of Chinese Listed Firms," NBER Chapters, in: Capitalizing China, pages 201-242, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Xiong, Lingyun & Deng, Hui & Xiao, Lijuan, 2021. "Does stock market liberalization mitigate litigation risk? Evidence from Stock Connect in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    7. Seasholes, Mark S. & Wu, Guojun, 2007. "Predictable behavior, profits, and attention," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 590-610, December.
    8. R. David Mclean & Jeffrey Pontiff, 2016. "Does Academic Research Destroy Stock Return Predictability?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(1), pages 5-32, February.
    9. Kewei Hou & Lin Peng & Wei Xiong, 2009. "A Tale of Two Anomalies: The Implication of Investor Attention for Price and Earnings Momentum," Working Papers 2009-4, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    10. Qianwei Ying & Dongmin Kong & Danglun Luo, 2015. "Investor Attention, Institutional Ownership, and Stock Return: Empirical Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 672-685, May.
    11. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1997. "A Survey of Corporate Governance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 737-783, June.
    12. Lin, Lili, 2019. "Corporate Governance and Liquidity Risk of Starbucks Company," MPRA Paper 97230, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Nov 2019.
    13. Li, Donghui & Nguyen, Quang N. & Pham, Peter K. & Wei, Steven X., 2011. "Large Foreign Ownership and Firm-Level Stock Return Volatility in Emerging Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(4), pages 1127-1155, August.
    14. Hezun Li & Timurs Uman & Siri Terjesen, 2019. "Corporate governance and innovation," Chapters, in: David B. Audretsch & Erik E. Lehmann & Albert N. Link (ed.), A Research Agenda for Entrepreneurship and Innovation, chapter 9, pages 134-154, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    15. Kandel, Eugene & Pearson, Neil D, 1995. "Differential Interpretation of Public Signals and Trade in Speculative Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(4), pages 831-872, August.
    16. Chen, Xing & Wu, Chongfeng, 2022. "Retail investor attention and information asymmetry: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    17. Epps, Thomas W & Epps, Mary Lee, 1976. "The Stochastic Dependence of Security Price Changes and Transaction Volumes: Implications for the Mixture-of-Distributions Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(2), pages 305-321, March.
    18. Anil Shivdasani & David Yermack, 1999. "CEO Involvement in the Selection of New Board Members: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1829-1853, October.
    19. Chen, Shuning & Zhang, Wei & Feng, Xu & Xiong, Xiong, 2020. "Asymmetry of retail investors’ attention and asymmetric volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    20. Victoria Krivogorsky & Gary Grudnitski, 2010. "Country-specific institutional effects on ownership: concentration and performance of continental European firms," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 14(2), pages 167-193, May.
    21. Elisabeth Kempf & Alberto Manconi & Oliver Spalt, 2017. "Distracted Shareholders and Corporate Actions," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(5), pages 1660-1695.
    22. Thomas J. Chemmanur & An Yan, 2019. "Advertising, Attention, and Stock Returns," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 1-51, September.
    23. Mike Burkart & Denis Gromb & Fausto Panunzi, 1997. "Large Shareholders, Monitoring, and the Value of the Firm," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 112(3), pages 693-728.
    24. West, Kenneth D, 1988. "Dividend Innovations and Stock Price Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(1), pages 37-61, January.
    25. Kim, Jeong-Bon & Li, Yinghua & Zhang, Liandong, 2011. "CFOs versus CEOs: Equity incentives and crashes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 713-730, September.
    26. Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1993. "Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 473-506.
    27. Emily Oster, 2019. "Unobservable Selection and Coefficient Stability: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 187-204, April.
    28. Ekkehart Boehmer & Charles M. Jones & Xiaoyan Zhang & Xinran Zhang, 2021. "Tracking Retail Investor Activity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(5), pages 2249-2305, October.
    29. Merton, Robert C, 1987. "A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 483-510, July.
    30. Wang, Jianxin, 2007. "Foreign equity trading and emerging market volatility: Evidence from Indonesia and Thailand," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 798-811, November.
    31. Masahiro Watanabe, 2008. "Price Volatility and Investor Behavior in an Overlapping Generations Model with Information Asymmetry," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(1), pages 229-272, February.
    32. Thomas Dimpfl & Stephan Jank, 2016. "Can Internet Search Queries Help to Predict Stock Market Volatility?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(2), pages 171-192, March.
    33. Zhi Da & Joseph Engelberg & Pengjie Gao, 2011. "In Search of Attention," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(5), pages 1461-1499, October.
    34. Mara Faccio & Maria-Teresa Marchica & Roberto Mura, 2011. "Large Shareholder Diversification and Corporate Risk-Taking," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(11), pages 3601-3641.
    35. Ferreira, Daniel & Li, Jin & Nikolowa, Radoslawa, 2019. "Corporate Capture of Blockchain Governance," CEPR Discussion Papers 13493, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    36. Steven X. Wei & Chu Zhang, 2006. "Why Did Individual Stocks Become More Volatile?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(1), pages 259-292, January.
    37. Laeven, Luc & Levine, Ross, 2009. "Bank governance, regulation and risk taking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 259-275, August.
    38. Daniel Andrei & Michael Hasler, 2015. "Investor Attention and Stock Market Volatility," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(1), pages 33-72.
    39. Wen, Fenghua & Xu, Longhao & Ouyang, Guangda & Kou, Gang, 2019. "Retail investor attention and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    40. Ting Li & Xinlei Zhao & Aiwu Zhao, 2019. "Voting with hands, earnings management and corporate governance," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(2), pages 178-197, May.
    41. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    42. Wang, Ye & Yin, Sirui, 2018. "CEO educational background and acquisition targets selection," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 238-259.
    43. Bin Gao & Chunpeng Yang, 2018. "Investor Trading Behavior and Sentiment in Futures Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 707-720, February.
    44. Hirshleifer, David & Teoh, Siew Hong, 2003. "Limited attention, information disclosure, and financial reporting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1-3), pages 337-386, December.
    45. Cheng, Shijun, 2008. "Board size and the variability of corporate performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 157-176, January.
    46. Xie, Feng & Anderson, Hamish D. & Chi, Jing & Liao, Jing, 2019. "Does residual state ownership increase stock return volatility? Evidence from China's secondary privatization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 234-251.
    47. Tricker, Bob & Li, Gregg, 2019. "Understanding Corporate Governance in China," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9789888455713, September.
    48. Ding, Rong & Hou, Wenxuan, 2015. "Retail investor attention and stock liquidity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 12-26.
    49. Yihui Pan & Tracy Yue Wang & Michael S. Weisbach, 2015. "Learning About CEO Ability and Stock Return Volatility," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(6), pages 1623-1666.
    50. repec:eme:ijoes0:ijoes-02-2019-0035 is not listed on IDEAS
    51. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2008. "All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 785-818, April.
    52. Chen, Changling & Kim, Jeong-Bon & Yao, Li, 2017. "Earnings smoothing: Does it exacerbate or constrain stock price crash risk?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 36-54.
    53. Ting Li & Xinlei Zhao & Aiwu Zhao, 2019. "Voting with hands, earnings management and corporate governance," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(2), pages 178-197, May.
    54. Davidson Heath & Daniele Macciocchi & Roni Michaely & Matthew C Ringgenberg, 2022. "Do Index Funds Monitor?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(1), pages 91-131.
    55. Ballinari, Daniele & Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio, 2022. "When does attention matter? The effect of investor attention on stock market volatility around news releases," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    56. Xu, Xiaonian & Wang, Yan, 1999. "Ownership structure and corporate governance in Chinese stock companies," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 75-98.
    57. Chen, Zhian & Du, Jinmin & Li, Donghui & Ouyang, Rui, 2013. "Does foreign institutional ownership increase return volatility? Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 660-669.
    58. Han, Chunmao & Zhang, Wei, 2024. "Trading volume, anomaly returns and noise trader risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    59. Jayasuriya Mahapatabendige Ruwani Fernando & Leon Li & Yang (Greg) Hou, 2019. "Corporate governance and default prediction: a reality test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(24), pages 2669-2686, May.
    60. Li, Xiaorong & Wang, Steven Shuye & Wang, Xue, 2017. "Trust and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 74-91.
    61. Li, Xing & Hou, Keqiang & Zhang, Chao, 2020. "Intangible factor and idiosyncratic volatility puzzles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    62. Huang, Hsu-Huei & Chan, Min-Lee & Huang, I-Hsiang & Chang, Chih-Hsiang, 2011. "Stock price volatility and overreaction in a political crisis: The effects of corporate governance and performance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-20, January.
    63. Gur Huberman & Tomer Regev, 2001. "Contagious Speculation and a Cure for Cancer: A Nonevent that Made Stock Prices Soar," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 387-396, February.
    64. Zhijuan Chen & William T. Lin & Changfeng Ma & Zhenlong Zheng, 2013. "The Impact of Individual Investor Trading on Stock Returns," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S3), pages 62-69, July.
    65. Hao, Jing & Xiong, Xiong, 2021. "Retail investor attention and firms' idiosyncratic risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wen, Fenghua & Xu, Longhao & Ouyang, Guangda & Kou, Gang, 2019. "Retail investor attention and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Li, Xiao & Pattnaik, Debidutta & Sharma, Anuj, 2022. "Foundations and research clusters in investor attention: Evidence from bibliometric and topic modelling analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 511-529.
    3. Chen, Zhongdong & Craig, Karen Ann, 2023. "Active attention, retail investor base, and stock returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    4. Zhibing Li & Jie Liu & Xiaoyu Liu & Chonglin Wu, 2024. "Investor attention and stock price efficiency: Evidence from quasi‐natural experiments in China," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 53(1), pages 175-225, March.
    5. Cai, Haidong & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2022. "Investor attention, aggregate limit-hits, and stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Cheng, Feiyang & Wang, Chunfeng & Chiao, Chaoshin & Yao, Shouyu & Fang, Zhenming, 2021. "Retail attention, retail trades, and stock price crash risk," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    7. Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Robert Brooks, 2019. "Investor Attention and Stock Market Activities: New Evidence from Panel Data," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-19, June.
    8. Yuan, Ying & Fan, Xiaoqian & Li, Yiou, 2022. "Do local and non-local retail investor attention impact stock returns differently?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Rohan Kumar Mishra & Frank Obenpong Kwabi & Abhijeet Chandra, 2025. "Corporate Social Responsibility, Related Party Transaction and Earnings Management: Evidence from India," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 201(2), pages 331-369, October.
    10. Liu, Wenwen & Zhao, Peng & Luo, Ziyang & Tang, Miaomiao, 2024. "The dynamic impact of network attention on natural resources prices in pre-and post-Russian-Ukrainian war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    11. Li, Zhibing & Liu, Jia & Liu, Jie & Liu, Xiaoyu & Wu, Chonglin, 2025. "Investor attention and stock price manipulation: Evidence from daily quasi-natural experiments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    12. Sameer Al Johani & Adnan Atm, 2022. "Revisiting the Relationship between Corporate Governance and Firm performance: Evidence from British Manufacturing Firms," Acta Universitatis Bohemiae Meridionalis, University of South Bohemia in Ceske Budejovice, Faculty of Economics, vol. 25(1), pages 7-32.
    13. Hao, Jing & Xiong, Xiong, 2021. "Retail investor attention and firms' idiosyncratic risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Shouyu Yao & Tong Li & Ahmet Sensoy & Zhenming Fang & Feiyang Cheng, 2024. "Investor attention and environmental information disclosure quality: Evidence from heavy pollution industries in China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2971-2990, July.
    15. Ilaria Galavotti & Carlotta D’Este & Daniele Cerrato, 2026. "A size-based contingency approach to family firms’ performance: the role of family power," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 30(1), pages 155-190, March.
    16. Geng, Yuedan & Ye, Qiang & Jin, Yu & Shi, Wen, 2022. "Crowd wisdom and internet searches: What happens when investors search for stocks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. He, Feng & Yan, Yulin & Hao, Jing & Wu, Ji (George), 2022. "Retail investor attention and corporate green innovation: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    18. Yiming Ma & Muhammad Ishfaq Ahmad & Riccardo Torelli, 2024. "Board gender diversity and ESG disclosure: The moderating role of audit committee," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(6), pages 5971-5983, November.
    19. Qi Gong & Jiahui Gu & Zhaoyang Kong & Siyan Shen & Xiucheng Dong & Yang Li & Chade Li, 2025. "The Impact of ESG Ratings on Corporate Sustainability: Evidence from Chinese Listed Firms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-25, June.
    20. Cheng, Feiyang & Chiao, Chaoshin & Wang, Chunfeng & Fang, Zhenming & Yao, Shouyu, 2021. "Does retail investor attention improve stock liquidity? A dynamic perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 170-183.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:revfec:v:43:y:2025:i:4:p:433-456. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1873-5924 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.