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Leptospirosis Dynamics With Misdiagnosis: A Review

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  • Japheth Musingila Mwongela
  • Caroline Kanyiri
  • Virginia Kitetu

Abstract

Leptospirosis is a zoonosis with global distribution, and a wide variety of clinical symptoms often lead to misclassification as other febrile conditions. Clinical misclassification has remained the baseline for the diagnosis of leptospirosis, which poses an uphill challenge to clinical management and epidemiological modeling, which could distort the estimation of our burden of disease, thus further delaying public health interventions. This paper provides an overview of trends in modeling approaches for leptospirosis, with a focus on one of the major challenges of diagnostic inaccuracies in relation to effects on model reliability. Finally, the shortcomings of the classic models are discussed in the context that misdiagnosis has not been well represented, and heeding the strides that have recently been made towards developing ways in which diagnostic uncertainty can be incorporated within these frameworks. Enhanced model accuracy of leptospirosis for robustness will help enhance our understanding of the dynamics of diseases to better inform effective intervention strategies. The importance of interdisciplinary communication between epidemiologists, clinicians, and modelers in addressing the misdiagnosis of infectious disease models is outlined herein.

Suggested Citation

  • Japheth Musingila Mwongela & Caroline Kanyiri & Virginia Kitetu, 2025. "Leptospirosis Dynamics With Misdiagnosis: A Review," Journal of Applied Mathematics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2025(1).
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jnljam:v:2025:y:2025:i:1:n:1691122
    DOI: 10.1155/jama/1691122
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    1. repec:plo:pntd00:0003898 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Teerapat Nualnoi & Luelak Lomlim & Supawadee Naorungroj, 2024. "Accuracy of rapid lateral flow immunoassays for human leptospirosis diagnosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(5), pages 1-19, May.
    3. repec:plo:pone00:0216830 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:plo:pntd00:0006470 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Alessandra Jacomelli Teles & Bianca Conrad Bohm & Suellen Caroline Matos Silva & Nádia Campos Pereira Bruhn & Fábio Raphael Pascoti Bruhn, 2023. "Spatial and temporal dynamics of leptospirosis in South Brazil: A forecasting and nonlinear regression analysis," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(4), pages 1-15, April.
    6. Paul R Torgerson & José E Hagan & Federico Costa & Juan Calcagno & Michael Kane & Martha S Martinez-Silveira & Marga G A Goris & Claudia Stein & Albert I Ko & Bernadette Abela-Ridder, 2015. "Global Burden of Leptospirosis: Estimated in Terms of Disability Adjusted Life Years," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(10), pages 1-14, October.
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