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P2P Lending Risk Contagion Analysis Based on a Complex Network Model

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  • Qi Wei
  • Qiang Zhang

Abstract

This paper analyzes two major channels of P2P lending risk contagion in China—direct risk contagion between platforms and indirect risk contagion with other financial organizations as the contagion medium. Based on this analysis, the current study constructs a complex network model of P2P lending risk contagion in China and performs dynamics analogue simulations in order to analyze general characteristics of direct risk contagion among China’s online P2P lending platforms. The assumed conditions are that other financial organizations act as the contagion medium, with variations in the risk contagion characteristics set under the condition of significant information asymmetry in Internet lending. It is indicated that, compared to direct risk contagion among platforms, both financial organizations acting as the contagion medium and information asymmetry magnify the effect of risk contagion. It is also found that the superposition of media effects and information asymmetry is more likely to magnify the risk contagion effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Qi Wei & Qiang Zhang, 2016. "P2P Lending Risk Contagion Analysis Based on a Complex Network Model," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2016(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jnddns:v:2016:y:2016:i:1:n:5013954
    DOI: 10.1155/2016/5013954
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Co-Pierre Georg & Jenny Poschmann, 2010. "Systemic risk in a network model of interbank markets with central bank activity," Jena Economics Research Papers 2010-033, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
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