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Analytically Pricing Variance Swaps Under the Hawkes Jump‐Diffusion Process With Liquidity Risks

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  • Ke Wang
  • Xun‐xiang Guo
  • Yang‐yang Wang
  • Hong‐yu Zhang

Abstract

We investigate variance swap pricing by incorporating a self‐exciting Hawkes process into a stochastic liquidity risk model. Within this framework, we derive closed‐form pricing formulas for discretely sampled variance swaps using two different methods. Through asymptotic analysis, we demonstrate that the discretely sampled pricing formulas converge to their continuously sampled counterparts as the sampling interval approaches zero. Numerical results further highlight the significant impact of jump clustering on the strike prices of variance swaps.

Suggested Citation

  • Ke Wang & Xun‐xiang Guo & Yang‐yang Wang & Hong‐yu Zhang, 2025. "Analytically Pricing Variance Swaps Under the Hawkes Jump‐Diffusion Process With Liquidity Risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(9), pages 1388-1408, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:45:y:2025:i:9:p:1388-1408
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22603
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