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What Role Do Finance Ministers Play in Political Business Cycles? Evidence‐Based on a New African Dataset

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  • Christine Olivia Strong

Abstract

This study investigates how the personal characteristics of finance ministers influence political budget cycles in Africa. Using a new dataset covering 300 finance ministers across 23 countries from 1980 to 2020, we find that political budget cycles primarily take the form of increased government consumption during election years. Ministers with prior central banking experience are less likely to amplify spending in election years, effectively curbing political budget cycles. These results remain consistent after accounting for institutional quality, ministerial tenure, and other confounding factors. The findings contribute to the literature by showing that the appointment of finance ministers in African countries shapes fiscal discipline during elections.

Suggested Citation

  • Christine Olivia Strong, 2026. "What Role Do Finance Ministers Play in Political Business Cycles? Evidence‐Based on a New African Dataset," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 3003-3026, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:31:y:2026:i:3:p:3003-3026
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.70072
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