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Stock prices' interdependence during the South Sea boom and bust

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  • Taufiq Choudhry

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates interdependence between major companies' stock prices during the 1720 South Sea boom and bust. This was one of the first documented major financial crashes in the European market. Empirical tests are conducted by means of rolling coefficients, multivariate cointegration, rolling cointegration, and causality tests. Results indicate a substantial interdependence among the stock prices during the boom but not during the bust period. This result implies the failure of the efficient market hypothesis and the diminishing ability of the investors to reduce portfolio risk via diversification during the boom period. The causality test results provide ample evidence of short‐term interaction between shares during the period of increasing prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Taufiq Choudhry, 2018. "Stock prices' interdependence during the South Sea boom and bust," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 628-641, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:23:y:2018:i:4:p:628-641
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1640
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Arashi & Mohammad Mahdi Rounaghi, 2022. "Analysis of market efficiency and fractal feature of NASDAQ stock exchange: Time series modeling and forecasting of stock index using ARMA-GARCH model," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.

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