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On the Measurement of the Government Spending Multiplier in the United States: an ARDL Cointegration Approach

Author

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  • Esmaeil Ebadi

    (Department of Economics, Grand Valley State University, Grand Rapids, MI, United States of America)

Abstract

This paper applies annual data from 1962 to 2011 to investigate the long run relationship between government spending and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The common approach only considers defense government spending to estimate the multiplier to overcome the identification problem and endogeneity in isolating the effect of changes in government spending on GDP, I use the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration, which works despite having endogenous regressors to estimate the spending multiplier. The results confirm that government spending can be treated as a ‘long-run forcing’ variable for the explanation of real GDP and the long-run multiplier is found to be 1.94.

Suggested Citation

  • Esmaeil Ebadi, 2018. "On the Measurement of the Government Spending Multiplier in the United States: an ARDL Cointegration Approach," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 8(1), pages 2-10, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wei:journl:v:8:y:2018:i:1:p:2-10
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Raymond Osi Alenoghena, 2019. "Fiscal Policy Determinants of Money Demand in Nigeria: ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 13-22, December.
    2. Ebadi, Esmaeil, 2018. "On the Effect of Government Spending on Money Demand in the United States: An ARDL Cointegration Approach," MPRA Paper 86399, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Governments pending; Spending multiplier; ARDL approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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