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Payment Vehicles for Public Goods: Evidence from California’s Proposition 21

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  • Brian P. Vander Naald
  • Trudy Ann Cameron

Abstract

Proposition 21 on California’s 2010 ballot concerned an annual surcharge on vehicles to support state parks. Proposition 21 failed, leaving 25% of California state parks at risk of closure. We analyze voting patterns, which we show depend on the average gross price of the proposition, political ideology, environmental preferences, the availability of substitutes, and park salience. We simulate counterfactual scenarios under which Proposition 21 might have passed and use holdout samples to illustrate the predictive ability of our model. Heterogeneity across California makes our model potentially useful for predicting public sentiment for similar propositions, even for jurisdictions without direct democracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian P. Vander Naald & Trudy Ann Cameron, 2017. "Payment Vehicles for Public Goods: Evidence from California’s Proposition 21," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 93(1), pages 145-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:93:y:2017:i:1:p:145-164
    Note: DOI: 10.3368/le.93.1.145
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    Cited by:

    1. Boyd D. Blackwell & John Asafu-Adjaye, 2020. "Adding Jewels To The Crown: The Marginal Recreational Value Of Noosa National Park And Implications For User Fees," Discussion Papers Series 622, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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