IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/usm/journl/aamjaf00602_115-128.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-horizon Asymmetry in Conditional Mean of Asean Stock Market Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Mansor H. Ibrahim

    () (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia)

Abstract

This paper describes the return patterns of six ASEAN markets (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) using an autoregressive exponential GARCH-in mean model, also known as AR-EGARCH(1, 1)-M. Estimating the model for each market using daily data from August 2000 to May 2010, we find these markets generally have quick mean-reversion speeds but quite distinct patterns of return dynamics. In the Indonesian market, the evidence seems to strongly suggest asymmetric mean reversion and overreaction of the market during downturns. The Vietnamese market exhibits the most persistent return autocorrelation with some evidence pointing to higher persistence during market downturns. While there seems to be no asymmetric pattern in the return adjustment of the Malaysian and Filipino markets, there is no evidence indicating significant serial correlation in the markets of Singapore and Thailand. Thus, technical trading strategies are applicable for the markets of Indonesia and Vietnam only.

Suggested Citation

  • Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2010. "Short-horizon Asymmetry in Conditional Mean of Asean Stock Market Returns," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 6(2), pages 115-128.
  • Handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf00602_115-128
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://web.usm.my/journal/aamjaf/vol6-2-2010/6-2-6.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetry; mean reversion; volatility; AR-EGARCH(1; 1)-M; ASEAN markets;

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf00602_115-128. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Journal Division, Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/aammmea.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.