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Exportation De Ressources Naturelles Et Évolution Industrielle : Une Modélisation Dynamique Par La Théorie Du Contrôle Optimal

Author

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  • Marie-Pierre ARZELIER*

    (CEDERS, Faculté des Sciences Économiques, Université de la Méditerranée Aix-Marseille II.)

Abstract

Cet article analyse les effets d’une variation des exportations de pétrole sur la structure productive d’un pays exportateur dans la lignée des théories du syndrome hollandais. Le modèle dynamique considéré montre que l’évolution de l’économie dépend en grande partie des conditions initiales et du mouvement des ressources de main d’œuvre. Les distorsions sectorielles de la structure productive peuvent aboutir ou non à un processus de désindustrialisation de l’économie.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie-Pierre ARZELIER*, 1999. "Exportation De Ressources Naturelles Et Évolution Industrielle : Une Modélisation Dynamique Par La Théorie Du Contrôle Optimal," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 9, pages 151-171.
    • Handle: RePEc:tou:journl:v:9:y:1999:p:151-171
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    RENTE; EXPORTATIONS; RESSOURCES NATURELLES; SYNDROME HOLLANDAIS; CHANGEMENT STRUCTUREL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels

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