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Mahalliy Sharoitda Suv Tejovchi Texnologiyalarni Koʻp Mezonli Baholashning Iqtisodiy Yoʻnaltirilgan Gibrid Modeli Va Uning Amaliy Qoʻllanilishi

Author

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  • Shaxnoza Mirzayeva

Abstract

Markaziy Osiyoning arid hududlarida suv resurslarining degradatsiyasi qishloq xo‘jaligi barqarorligiga jiddiytahdid solmoqda. Irrigatsiya umumiy suv iste’molining 80–90% ini tashkil etadi, sho‘rlanish va yer osti suvlari darajasiningpasayishi esa hosildorlikni 15–45% ga kamaytirmoqda. Tadqiqotda mahalliy sharoitda suv tejovchi texnologiyalarnitanlash uchun iqtisodiy yo‘naltirilgan fuzzy-AHP–TOPSIS–DEA gibrid modeli ishlab chiqildi va Xorazm hamda Farg‘onaviloyatlari ma’lumotlari asosida sinovdan o‘tkazildi.Model iqtisodiy mezonlarga 60%, ekologik omillarga 25% va ijtimoiy-texnik mezonlarga 15% og‘irlik beradi. Natijalarshuni ko‘rsatdiki, tuproq namligi sensorlari bilan jihozlangan tomchilatib sug‘orish tizimi eng yuqori kompleks bahogaega (TOPSIS = 0,82; DEA = 1,00), IRR 23,4%, NPV 1 320 USD/ga (10 yil, 7% diskont). Suv unumdorligi 47% ga oshib,sho‘rlanish ΔECe = –1,2 dS m⁻¹ ga kamaydi.Monte-Karlo simulyatsiyasi (10 000 iteratsiya; ±25% narx va iqlimiy o‘zgarishlar) modelning 94% holatda barqarorliginitasdiqladi. 35% subsidiya sharoitida texnologiya qamrovi 18% dan 68% ga oshishi va yillik 620 mln USD makroiqtisodiyfoyda keltirishi mumkin. Taklif etilgan model suv tanqisligi sharoitida agrar siyosatni optimallashtirish uchun ilmiy asosyaratadi.

Suggested Citation

  • Shaxnoza Mirzayeva, 2026. "Mahalliy Sharoitda Suv Tejovchi Texnologiyalarni Koʻp Mezonli Baholashning Iqtisodiy Yoʻnaltirilgan Gibrid Modeli Va Uning Amaliy Qoʻllanilishi," GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, "Ma'rifat-Print-Media" LLC, Tashkent State University of Economics, vol. 4(2), February.
    • Handle: RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:i:2:id:9235
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18663004
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