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Surxondaryo Viloyatida Ulgurji Savdo Hajmi Ko‘Rsatkichlarini Arima Modeli Yordamida Prognozlashtirish

Author

Listed:
  • Sohiba Turopova

Abstract

Mazkur maqolada Surxondaryo viloyatida ulgurji savdo hajmining vaqt bo‘yicha o‘zgarishi hamda uniprognozlash masalalari tahlil qilingan. Tadqiqotda 2010–2024-yillar ma’lumotlari asosida vaqt qatorlari tahlili amalgaoshirilib, ARIMA modeli yordamida iqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlarning kelgusi davr uchun prognoz qiymatlari aniqlangan. Vaqtqatorining statsionarligi kengaytirilgan Dikkey–Fuller testi orqali tekshirildi va mos ARIMA(2,2,0) modeli tanlandi. Olingannatijalar 2025–2028-yillar uchun ulgurji savdo hajmining barqaror o‘sish tendensiyasini ko‘rsatadi. Tadqiqot natijalarihududiy savdo tizimini rivojlantirish va iqtisodiy rejalashtirish jarayonlarida muhim amaliy ahamiyat kasb etadi.

Suggested Citation

  • Sohiba Turopova, 2026. "Surxondaryo Viloyatida Ulgurji Savdo Hajmi Ko‘Rsatkichlarini Arima Modeli Yordamida Prognozlashtirish," GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, "Ma'rifat-Print-Media" LLC, Tashkent State University of Economics, vol. 4(2), February.
    • Handle: RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:i:2:id:9184
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18628916
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