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Buxoro Viloyatida Hunarmandchilik Sohasining Rivojlanishi: Ekonometrik Tahlil Va Prognoz (2014–2030-Yillar)

Author

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  • A.F. Ergasheva

Abstract

Ushbu maqolada Buxoro viloyatida hunarmandchilik sohasining 2014-2024-yillar davomidagi rivojlanishdinamikasi va 2030-yilgacha prognozi ekonometrik modellashtirish usullari yordamida tahlil qilingan. Tadqiqotdahunarmandchilik mahsulotlari eksport hajmi, ishlab chiqarilgan mahsulotlar, hunarmandlar soni, ajratilgan kreditlar vabandlik ko‘rsatkichlari o‘rtasidagi bog‘liqlik ko‘p omilli ekonometrik model orqali baholangan. Eng kichik kvadratlar usuli,korrelyatsion-regressiya tahlili, Diki-Fuller statsionarlik testi, Darbin-Uotson avtokorrelyatsiya testi va Fisher F-mezoniqo‘llanilgan. Tahlil natijalari shuni ko‘rsatdiki, tadqiqot davrida eksport hajmi yillik o‘rtacha 172 foizga oshgan, hunarmandlarsoni 854 nafardan 2552 nafarga yetgan, ajratilgan kreditlar 22 foiz o‘sgan. Tuzilgan ekonometrik modelning determinatsiyakoyeffitsiyenti (R²=0,9078) yuqori aniqlikni taʼminlaydi. Prognoz hisob-kitoblari 2030-yilda eksport hajmining 623 140 mlnso‘mga, hunarmandlar sonining 3 508 nafarga, bandlik darajasining 14 734 nafarga yetishini ko‘rsatmoqda. Tadqiqotnatijalari mintaqaviy iqtisodiyotni diversifikatsiya qilish, aholi bandligini oshirish va eksport salohiyatini kuchaytirishsiyosatini ishlab chiqishda amaliy ahamiyatga ega

Suggested Citation

  • A.F. Ergasheva, 2025. "Buxoro Viloyatida Hunarmandchilik Sohasining Rivojlanishi: Ekonometrik Tahlil Va Prognoz (2014–2030-Yillar)," GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, "Ma'rifat-Print-Media" LLC, Tashkent State University of Economics, vol. 3(10), October.
    • Handle: RePEc:teu:ged000:v:3:y:2025:i:10:id:7527
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17518765
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