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Budjet tizimiga jismoniy shaxslardan olinadigan soliq tushumlarini prognoz qilishni baholash modellari tahlili

Author

Listed:
  • Shavkat Babayev

Abstract

Ushbu maqolada O‘zbekiston Respublikasi budjet tizimida jismoniy shaxslardan olinadigan daromad solig‘itushumlarini prognoz qilish bo‘yicha zamonaviy baholash modellari tahlil qilinadi. Davlat moliyasini barqarorlashtirishdajismoniy shaxslar solig‘ining o‘rni beqiyos bo‘lib, ushbu tushumlarni aniqlik bilan prognozlash budjetni rejalashtirishjarayonida hal qiluvchi ahamiyat kasb etadi. Maqolada O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Prezidenti farmonlari asosida soliqtizimidagi islohotlarning ushbu yo‘nalishga ta’siri, iqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlar asosida prognozlash modellari (regressiya,ARIMA, mashinaviy o‘rganish yondashuvlari)ning samaradorligi tahlil qilinadi. Tadqiqotda statistik uslublar, tarixiyma’lumotlar va amaliy model testlari asosida natijalar keltirilib, istiqboldagi yondashuvlar bo‘yicha takliflar beriladi.Xususan, milliy makroiqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlar asosida soliq tushumlarini prognoz qilish bo‘yicha kompleks model tavsiyaetiladi.

Suggested Citation

  • Shavkat Babayev, 2024. "Budjet tizimiga jismoniy shaxslardan olinadigan soliq tushumlarini prognoz qilishni baholash modellari tahlili," GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, "Ma'rifat-Print-Media" LLC, Tashkent State University of Economics, vol. 2(9), September.
    • Handle: RePEc:teu:ged000:v:2:y:2024:i:9:id:5932
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.15715926
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