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Analysis of the influence of macroeconomic factor on long-term and short-term fluctuation of the Indonesian stock exchange (BEI) using the error correction method (ECM) approach

Author

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  • Roosaleh Laksono

    (Faculty of Economics, University of Widyatama, Bandung, Indonesia)

  • Suryana

    (Faculty of Economics, University of Widyatama, Bandung, Indonesia)

  • Paulus Sugianto Yusuf

    (Faculty of Economics, University of Widyatama, Bandung, Indonesia)

Abstract

This research aims to empirically test the influence of the short-term equilibrium relationship and long-term equilibrium relationship of economic growth, interest rate, inflation, and exchange rate on IHSG (IDX Composite) using empirical Error Correction Model (ECM) data from 2000 to 2023. During the observation period, the macroeconomic variables showed no significant influence on the movement of the IHSG (IDX Composite) in the short-term equilibrium relationship, whereas in the long-term equilibrium relationship almost all variables, namely economic growth, interest rate, and exchange rate, had a significant influence on the IHSG ( IDX Composite), while inflation has no short or long term effect on the IHSG.

Suggested Citation

  • Roosaleh Laksono & Suryana & Paulus Sugianto Yusuf, 2024. "Analysis of the influence of macroeconomic factor on long-term and short-term fluctuation of the Indonesian stock exchange (BEI) using the error correction method (ECM) approach," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 63(1), pages 162-177, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:tec:journl:ojs:11805
    DOI: 10.47577/tssj.v63i1.11805
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