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Exchange Rate and Stock Prices in Nigeria: Firm-Level Evidence

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  • Oluwatosin Adeniyi
  • Terver Kumeka

Abstract

This study examined the symmetry and asymmetry of the exchange rate-stock price nexus for 54 firms listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). We employed asymmetric Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model proposed for time series, using daily data for the period from December 12, 2001 to December 8, 2017 . For comparative purposes, we also estimated the symmetric version. In the linear model, we found insignificant relationship between exchange rate and stock prices in most of the firms. Similarly, in the NARDL estimations, we observed that exchange rate movements do not have asymmetric impacts on stock prices in almost all the firms. In line with these findings, we recommend that financiers cannot make informed investment decisions using information obtained from the exchange rate market. In addition, the monetary authorities may need to reconsider the strict use of exchange rate as a policy tool to attract foreign portfolio investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Oluwatosin Adeniyi & Terver Kumeka, 2020. "Exchange Rate and Stock Prices in Nigeria: Firm-Level Evidence," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 235-263, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:wjabxx:v:21:y:2020:i:2:p:235-263
    DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2019.1607144
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Abdul RASHID & Aamir JAVED & Zainab JEHAN & Uzma IQBAL, 2022. "Time-Varying Impacts of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Returns and Volatility : Evidence from Pakistan," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 144-166, October.
    2. Oyinlola Mutiu Abimbola & Adeniyi Oluwatosin & Kumeka Terver Theophilus, 2023. "Dependence between foreign trade performance and exchange rate volatility: Panel ARDL approach," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, July.
    3. Saadati, Alireza & Honarmandi, Zahra & Zarei, Samira, 2020. "Real Exchange Rate Shocks and Export-Oriented Businesses in Iran: An Empirical Analysis Using NARDL Model," MPRA Paper 101554, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Jun 2020.

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