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Which Characteristics Predict the Survival of Insolvent Firms? An SME Reorganization Prediction Model

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  • Maria‐del‐mar Camacho‐miñano
  • Maria‐jesus Segovia‐vargas
  • David Pascual‐ezama

Abstract

The negative impact of insolvency, especially in small and medium enterprises, informs the objective of this paper: to study the characteristics of bankrupt firms to achieve a preventive diagnosis for reorganization by means of artificial intelligence () methodologies such as rough set and methods. The models obtained show not only the key variables to predict insolvency, but also their relations and the critical values. Using only five firm characteristics (sector, size, number of shareholdings, return on assets, and cash ratio), our model could reduce delays and costs, since it is able to predict which firms will undergo reorganization or liquidation before the legal procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Maria‐del‐mar Camacho‐miñano & Maria‐jesus Segovia‐vargas & David Pascual‐ezama, 2015. "Which Characteristics Predict the Survival of Insolvent Firms? An SME Reorganization Prediction Model," Journal of Small Business Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 340-354, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:ujbmxx:v:53:y:2015:i:2:p:340-354
    DOI: 10.1111/jsbm.12076
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