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Price discovery and volatility spillover with price limits in Chinese A-shares market: A truncated GARCH approach

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  • C. J. Adcock
  • C. Ye
  • S. Yin
  • D. Zhang

Abstract

The use of price limits by a stock exchange means that the distribution of returns is truncated. By considering a GARCH model in conjunction with a truncated distribution for the residuals, this study investigates whether price limits have an effect on price behaviour and volatility of Chinese A-shares. The analysis has been applied to A-shares traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) during the period from 2004 to 2018. The results suggest the Truncated-GARCH model outperforms a conventional model and offers substantially different insights into the effect of price limits. The delayed price discovery hypothesis is not rejected for either exchange after upper price limit hits. Limited evidence supports the volatility spillover hypothesis, as just over 5% of A-shares experience an increase of volatility after upper price limit hits on both exchanges. No evidence of reduction of volatility after price limit hits is shown in the research.

Suggested Citation

  • C. J. Adcock & C. Ye & S. Yin & D. Zhang, 2019. "Price discovery and volatility spillover with price limits in Chinese A-shares market: A truncated GARCH approach," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(10), pages 1709-1719, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:tjorxx:v:70:y:2019:i:10:p:1709-1719
    DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2018.1542973
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    Cited by:

    1. Jin, Liwei & Yuan, Xianghui & Li, Xiang & Ma, Huanglong & Lian, Feng, 2022. "Would widening price limits improve the efficiency of price discovery?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Adcock, Chris & Ye, Caiwei & Yin, Shuxing & Zhang, Dalu, 2023. "Are Chinese B-shares dead? An analysis of price limits on AB-shares on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 306-315.

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