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On s-convex bounds for Beta-unimodal distributions with applications to basis risk assessment

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  • Claude Lefèvre
  • Stéphane Loisel
  • Pierre Montesinos

Abstract

This paper is concerned with properties of Beta-unimodal distributions and their use to assess the basis risk inherent to index-based insurance or reinsurance contracts. To this extent, we first characterize s-convex stochastic orders for Beta-unimodal distributions in terms of the Weyl fractional integral. We then determine s-convex extrema for such distributions, focusing in particular on the cases s = 2, 3, 4. Next, we define an Enterprise Risk Management framework that relies on Beta-unimodality to assess these hedge imperfections, introducing several penalty functions and worst case scenarios. Some of the results obtained are illustrated numerically via a representative catastrophe model.

Suggested Citation

  • Claude Lefèvre & Stéphane Loisel & Pierre Montesinos, 2021. "On s-convex bounds for Beta-unimodal distributions with applications to basis risk assessment," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2021(6), pages 476-504, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:sactxx:v:2021:y:2021:i:6:p:476-504
    DOI: 10.1080/03461238.2020.1852596
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