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Developer sentiment, developer’s strategy and housing supply: evidence from Hong Kong

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  • Ziyou Wang
  • Eddie Chi-man Hui
  • Cong Liang

Abstract

The increasingly important role of sentiment in the housing market has complicated the challenges facing developers during boom-and-bust cycles. This study investigates how developer sentiment affects developers’ decision-making and the housing supply at the project level. As the standard evaluation usually overlooks sentiment resulting in suboptimal inferences, we develop a new theoretical model that analyses both sentiment and developers’ optimal strategies. Our findings suggest a ‘U’-shape relationship between developer sentiment and the expected waiting time to develop. Second, the optimal development density declines when developer sentiment intensifies. The Hong Kong housing market is used as a case for empirical analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Ziyou Wang & Eddie Chi-man Hui & Cong Liang, 2025. "Developer sentiment, developer’s strategy and housing supply: evidence from Hong Kong," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(1), pages 2377675-237, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:59:y:2025:i:1:p:2377675
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2024.2377675
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