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City shrinkage in China: scalar processes of urban and hukou population losses

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  • Zhenshan Yang
  • Michael Dunford

Abstract

Analysis of the latest census data for 2000 and 2010 shows that 88 out of 336 Chinese municipalities suffered combinations of total, urban and hukou population loss. A general ordered logit model examines the ways manufacturing decline, services growth and demographic vitality interact in a specifically Chinese context of population control, contributing empirically and theoretically to studies of city shrinkage. Chinese experience shows that while some cities act as growth engines in emerging economies, others may shrink, and this process may happen before the completion of a rural–urban transition. These findings call for a modification of China’s growth-oriented urban policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenshan Yang & Michael Dunford, 2018. "City shrinkage in China: scalar processes of urban and hukou population losses," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(8), pages 1111-1121, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:52:y:2018:i:8:p:1111-1121
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2017.1335865
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    Cited by:

    1. Mingke Xie & Zhangxian Feng & Chenggu Li, 2022. "How Does Population Shrinkage Affect Economic Resilience? A Case Study of Resource-Based Cities in Northeast China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Min Jiang & Euijune Kim & Youngjin Woo, 2020. "The Relationship between Economic Growth and Air Pollution—A Regional Comparison between China and South Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-20, April.
    3. Qingsong He & Miao Yan & Linzi Zheng & Bo Wang & Jiang Zhou, 2023. "The Effect of Urban Form on Urban Shrinkage—A Study of 293 Chinese Cities Using Geodetector," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, March.
    4. Liu, Xingjian & Wang, Mingshu & Qiang, Wei & Wu, Kang & Wang, Xiaomi, 2020. "Urban form, shrinking cities, and residential carbon emissions: Evidence from Chinese city-regions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    5. Zhenxing Jin & Chengxin Wang & Shangkun Yu & Shuai Zhang & Xiaoming Ding, 2022. "Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of urban shrinkage in the Yellow River Basin, China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(3), pages 1-19, March.
    6. Youngmee Jeon & Saehoon Kim, 2020. "Housing abandonment in shrinking cities of East Asia: Case study in Incheon, South Korea," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(8), pages 1749-1767, June.
    7. Shouzhong Zhang & Limin Wang & Xiangli Wu, 2022. "Population Shrinkage, Public Service Levels, and Heterogeneity in Resource-Based Cities: Case Study of 112 Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-20, November.
    8. Xinhua Tong & Shurui Guo & Haiyan Duan & Zhiyuan Duan & Chang Gao & Wu Chen, 2022. "Carbon-Emission Characteristics and Influencing Factors in Growing and Shrinking Cities: Evidence from 280 Chinese Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-17, February.
    9. Zhenshan Yang & Yinghao Pan & Dongqi Sun & Li Ma, 2022. "Human Capital and International Capital Flows: Evidence from China," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 45(1), pages 74-107, January.
    10. Yanjiao Song & Chuanyong Zhang, 2020. "City size and housing purchase intention: Evidence from rural–urban migrants in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(9), pages 1866-1886, July.
    11. Zhenshan Yang, 2019. "Sustainability of Urban Development with Population Decline in Different Policy Scenarios: A Case Study of Northeast China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-17, November.
    12. Yang Zhou & Chunyang Tong & Yongsheng Wang, 2022. "Road construction, economic growth, and poverty alleviation in China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(3), pages 1306-1332, September.
    13. Xiaoming Ding & Shangkun Yu & Yi Miao & Chengxin Wang & Zhenxing Jin, 2022. "Types, Modes and Influencing Factors of Urban Shrinkage: Evidence from the Yellow River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-18, July.
    14. Tong Wu & Beibei Ma & Yongyong Song, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Patterns of County Population Shrinkage and Influencing Factors in the North–South Transitional Zone of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-22, November.
    15. Chich-Ping Hu & Tai-Shan Hu & Peilei Fan & Hai-Ping Lin, 2020. "The Urban Blight Costs in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, December.
    16. Zhenshan Yang, 2023. "Human capital space: a spatial perspective of the dynamics of people and economic relationships," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
    17. Shao, Shuai & Zhang, Xuebin & Yang, Lili, 2023. "Natural resource dependence and urban shrinkage: The role of human capital accumulation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    18. Yamamoto, T., 2019. "Analysis of Japanese shrinking cities and policies to tackle this problem (the case of Sammu city and its economic gardening project)," R-Economy, Ural Federal University, Graduate School of Economics and Management, vol. 5(3), pages 123-136.
    19. Qirui Li, 2020. "Resilience Thinking as a System Approach to Promote China’s Sustainability Transitions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-27, June.
    20. Kai Zhou & Jaroslav Koutský & Justin B. Hollander, 2022. "URBAN SHRINKAGE IN CHINA, THE USA AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC: A Comparative Multilevel Governance Perspective," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 480-496, May.

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