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The mismatch between local voting and the local economic consequences of Brexit


  • Bart Los
  • Philip McCann
  • John Springford
  • Mark Thissen


The mismatch between local voting and the local economic consequences of Brexit. Regional Studies. This paper reveals that in the 2016 UK referendum regarding whether to remain in or leave the European Union, the regions that voted strongly for leave tended also to be those same regions with greatest levels of dependency on European Union markets for their local economic development. This observation flies in the face of pro-leave narratives that posited that the major beneficiaries of European Union membership were the ‘metropolitan elites’ of London. Economic geography dominated the observed voting patterns, and geography will also certainly dominate the post-Brexit economic impacts, but not necessarily in a way that voters anticipated or wished for.

Suggested Citation

  • Bart Los & Philip McCann & John Springford & Mark Thissen, 2017. "The mismatch between local voting and the local economic consequences of Brexit," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(5), pages 786-799, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:51:y:2017:i:5:p:786-799
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2017.1287350

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    Cited by:

    1. Yann Algan & Sergei Guriev & Elias Papaioannou & Evgenia Passari, 2017. "The European Trust Crisis and the Rise of Populism," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(2 (Fall)), pages 309-400.
    2. Rodr�guez-Pose, Andr�s, 2017. "The revenge of the places that don't matter (and what to do about it)," CEPR Discussion Papers 12473, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. repec:bla:presci:v:97:y:2018:i:1:p:151-170 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:bla:ecinqu:v:57:y:2019:i:1:p:333-352 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Mark Thissen & Maureen Lankhuizen & Frank (F.G.) van Oort & Bart Los & Dario Diodato, 2018. "EUREGIO: The construction of a global IO DATABASE with regional detail for Europe for 2000-2010," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-084/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    6. Raffaele Giammetti, 2019. "Tariffs, Domestic Import Substitution and Trade Diversion in Input-Output Production Networks: how to deal with Brexit," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 152, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    7. Bove, Vincenzo & Efthyvoulou, Georgios & Pickard, Harry, 2019. "Did terrorism affect the Brexit vote?," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 415, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    8. Giammetti, Raffaele, 2019. "Tariffs, Domestic Import Substitution and Trade Diversion in Input-Output Production Networks: how to deal with Brexit," MPRA Paper 92835, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. repec:bla:presci:v:97:y:2018:i:1:p:117-132 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Marianne Sensier & Fiona Devine, 2017. "Social Mobility and Brexit: A Closer Look At England's 'Left Behind' Communities," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 1709, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    11. Mauro Caselli & Andrea Fracasso & Silvio Traverso, 2019. "Globalization, robotization and electoral outcomes: Evidence from spatial regressions for Italy," DEM Working Papers 2019/5, Department of Economics and Management.
    12. Riccardo Crescenzi & Marco Di Cataldo & Alessandra Faggian, 2018. "Internationalized at work and localistic at home: The ‘split’ Europeanization behind Brexit," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 97(1), pages 117-132, March.
    13. Harry Pickard, 2019. "A mailshot in the dark? The impact of the UK government's lea fet on the 2016 EU referendum," Working Papers 2019004, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.

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