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Explaining Interregional Migration Changes in China, 1985-2000, Using a Decomposition Approach

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  • Jianfa Shen

Abstract

S hen J. Explaining interregional migration changes in China, 1985-2000, using a decomposition approach, Regional Studies . This paper estimates the effects of changing parameters in migration models and the changing demographic, social, and economic attributes in origin and destinations on migration flows. A decomposition approach is developed based on multilevel Poisson migration models. Multilevel Poisson migration models are estimated for migration in China for the periods 1985-1990 and 1995-2000. Overall, the total inter-provincial migration was increased by 22 million in China from 1985-1990 to 1995-2000. The decomposition result shows that 62.28% of this increase was due to changes in the value of explanatory variables, while 37.72% was due to changes in the value of model parameters.

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  • Jianfa Shen, 2015. "Explaining Interregional Migration Changes in China, 1985-2000, Using a Decomposition Approach," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(7), pages 1176-1192, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:49:y:2015:i:7:p:1176-1192
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2013.812783
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    Cited by:

    1. Yufei Lin & Yingxia Pu & Xinyi Zhao & Guangqing Chi & Cui Ye, 2023. "The Spatiotemporal Elasticity of Age Structure in China’s Interprovincial Migration System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-18, May.
    2. Qingsheng Yang & Hongxian Zhang & Kevin M Mwenda, 2019. "County-Scale Destination Migration Attractivity Measurement and Determinants Analysis: A Case Study of Guangdong Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, January.
    3. Yingxia Pu & Xinyi Zhao & Guangqing Chi & Jin Zhao & Fanhua Kong, 2019. "A spatial dynamic panel approach to modelling the space-time dynamics of interprovincial migration flows in China," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(31), pages 913-948.

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