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A Typology and Assessment of Multi-sector Regional Economic Impact Models

  • Scott Loveridge

Loveridge S. (2004) A typology and assessment of multi-sector regional economic impact models, Reg. Studies38, 305-317. This paper provides a summary and critical review of the types of multi-sector models with inter-sectoral linkages commonly used to predict the total impact of an event (plant opening, closing or policy change) on the regional economy. The following model types are included: economic base; input-output; social accounting matrix; integrated econometric/input-output; and computable general equilibrium models. Appropriate uses of the various modelling approaches are presented along with some general operating principles and ethical considerations. The paper concludes with directions for future research. Loveridge S. (2004) Une typologie et un bilan des modeles des impacts economiques regionaux multi-sectoriels, Reg. Studies38, 305-317. Cet article cherche a faire le resume et la critique des typologies de modeles multi-sectoriels qui ont des liens intersectoriels et dont on se sert frequemment afin de predire l'impact global sur l'economie regionale d'un effet ponctuel (a savoir l'ouverture d'un etablissement, la fermeture, le changement de politique). On inclut les typologies de modeles qui suivent: base economique, echanges interindustriels, matrice de comptabilite nationale, econometrie/echanges interindustriels integres, et equilibre general sur ordinateur. On presente des facons d'employer les divers modeles qui conviennent, conjointement avec des principes generaux et des considerations ethiques. Pour conclure, l'article propose la voie a suivre pour ce qui est de la recherche future. Loveridge S. (2004) Eine Typologie und Bewertung vielfach gefacherter regionalwirtschaftlicher Auswirkungsmodelle, Reg. Studies38, 305-317. Dieser Aufsatz bringt eine Zusammenfassung und kritische Besprechung der Typen mehrfach gefacherter Modelle mit intersektorellen Verknupfungen, die weithin dazu benutzt werden, die Gesamtauswirkung eines Ereignisses, (sei es Eroffnung, Schliessung oder Betriebsumstellung) auf die regionale Wirtschaft vorherzusagen. Die folgenden Modelltypen werden berucksichtigt: wirtschaftliche Grundlage, Aufwand/Ertrag, Sozialbedeutungsmatrix, integrierte okonometrische Aufwand/ Ertrags- und berechenbare allgemeine Gleichgewichtsmodelle. Es werden geeignete Anwendungen der verschiedenartigen Modellansatze sowie allgemeine Arbeitsprinzipien und ethische Erwagungen vorgelegt. Der Aufsatz schliesst mit Hinweisen auf weitere Forschungsaufgaben. Loveridge S. (2004) Una tipologia y evaluacion de modelos multi-sectoriales que analizan el impacto economico regional, Reg. Studies38, 305-317. Este articulo ofrece un resumen y un examen critico de los tipos de modelos multi-sectoriales con enlaces inter-sectoriales comunmente utilizados para predecir el impacto total de un acontecimiento (apertura de una planta, cierre, o cambio de politica) en la economia regional. Se incluyen los siguientes tipos de modelos: base economica, input- ouput, matriz de contabilidad social, econometrico/input-output integrado, y modelos contables de equilibrio general. Se presentan las aplicaciones apropiadas de los diversos enfoques de modelizacion junto con algunos principios operativos generales y consideraciones eticas. El articulo concluye con recomendaciones para futura investigacion.

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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 38 (2004)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 305-317

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Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:38:y:2004:i:3:p:305-317
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