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Hedge fund replication with a genetic algorithm: breeding a usable mousetrap

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  • Brian C. Payne
  • Jiri Tresl

Abstract

This study tests the performance of 14 hedge fund index clones created using parsimonious out-of-sample replication portfolios consisting solely of easily accessible assets. We employ a genetic algorithm to integrate two traditional hedge fund replication methods, the factor-based and pay-off distribution replication methods, and evaluate over 4500 commonly held stocks, bonds and mutual funds as replicating portfolio components. In-sample performance indicates that hedge funds have return series similar to portfolios of commonly held assets, and out-of-sample results provide evidence that the in-sample relationships can hold with infrequent rebalancing. This hedge fund replication attempt rates well relatively to prior efforts as 11 replicating portfolios have out-of-sample correlation values of at least 60%. Overall, these results show promise for using a genetic algorithm technique to replicate hedge fund returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian C. Payne & Jiri Tresl, 2014. "Hedge fund replication with a genetic algorithm: breeding a usable mousetrap," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 1705-1726, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:15:y:2015:i:10:p:1705-1726
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2014.979222
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