IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/pocoec/v37y2025i3p223-246.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic shock spillovers from Russia to Kazakhstan

Author

Listed:
  • Woosik Yu

Abstract

This study examines the economic relationship between Russia and Kazakhstan, conducting empirical analysis to investigate the transmission mechanisms of economic shocks. Drawing on significant historical events such as the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, alongside econometric techniques such as ordinary least squares and vector autoregression, the research explores the cross-border effects on exchange rates and inflation rates between the two nations. The empirical results strongly indicate that changes in the ruble exchange rate affect that of tenge, and inflationary trends in Russia impact those in Kazakhstan. By identifying these spillovers from Russia to Kazakhstan, the study highlights Kazakhstan’s dependencies inherent in its economic integration in the form of a customs union, the Eurasian Economic Union, which includes the ‘free currency convertibility’ agreement signed with Russia. Lastly, this paper raises pertinent questions about how Kazakhstan can mitigate negative spillovers from its neighbour.

Suggested Citation

  • Woosik Yu, 2025. "Macroeconomic shock spillovers from Russia to Kazakhstan," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 223-246, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:pocoec:v:37:y:2025:i:3:p:223-246
    DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2025.2461925
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/14631377.2025.2461925
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/14631377.2025.2461925?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:pocoec:v:37:y:2025:i:3:p:223-246. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/CPCE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.