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Estimating the True Incidence of Rubella




The true incidence of infectious diseases is difficult to determine from surveillance or from notification data. The proportion of new infections of rubella yields a model from serological surveys. The discrepancy between results and official notification data before vaccination era leads one to suspect the presence of hidden infections. Simulation on 80% of effective vaccination coverage shows a similar discrepancy of the total number of infections compared to notification data.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcos Amaku & Raymundo Azevedo, 2010. "Estimating the True Incidence of Rubella," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 91-100.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:mpopst:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:91-100
    DOI: 10.1080/08898481003689502

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    incidence; rubella; seroprevalence;


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