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The empirics of long-term Mexican government bond yields

Author

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  • Tanweer Akram
  • Syed Al-Helal Uddin

Abstract

This paper presents empirical models of Mexican government bond (MGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data. The current short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on MGB yields, after controlling for inflation and growth in industrial production. John Maynard Keynes claimed that long-term government bond yields move in lockstep with the short-term interest rate. The models presented in this paper show that Keynes’s claim holds for MGB yields. This has important policy implications for Mexico. The empirical findings of the paper are also relevant for ongoing debates in macroeconomics.

Suggested Citation

  • Tanweer Akram & Syed Al-Helal Uddin, 2024. "The empirics of long-term Mexican government bond yields," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 333-355, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:macfem:v:17:y:2024:i:2:p:333-355
    DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2021.2022875
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